Author: Kristen Moran

According to CoinShares, crypto investment products faced unprecedented outflows last week, with a staggering $942 million exiting funds globally. This marks a significant shift from the seven-week streak of inflows totaling $12.3 billion.

Various asset managers, including BlackRock, Bitwise, Fidelity, Grayscale, ProShares, and 21Shares, witnessed record outflows totaling $942 million globally. This surpasses the previous record set at the end of January, almost doubling it.

The substantial outflows occurred amidst a 33% decrease in trading volume for crypto investment products, amounting to $28 billion for the week. Additionally, the price correction in underlying cryptocurrencies led to a $10 billion reduction in assets under management for these funds. Nonetheless, the combined AUM remains above previous cycle highs at $88 billion.

Despite over $1 billion in inflows into new spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds in the U.S., it was insufficient to offset nearly $2 billion in outflows from Grayscale’s converted GBTC fund. The recent price correction prompted hesitancy among investors, resulting in lower inflows into new ETF issuers in the U.S.

The dominance of U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs drove the majority of net outflows last week, contributing $904 million, while short-bitcoin investment products saw minor outflows of $3.7 million.

Poor sentiment extended beyond U.S.-based funds and Bitcoin, affecting crypto investment products globally. Funds in Sweden, Hong Kong, Switzerland, and Germany experienced outflows, while Brazil and Canada-based funds saw inflows. Ethereum, Solana, and Cardano-based products also suffered outflows, while other altcoin-related funds fared better, registering net inflows.

Bitcoin is currently trading at $66,827, reflecting a 2% decrease over the past week. The broader crypto market also experienced a decline, with the GM30 index falling 10% before partially recovering.

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The Philippines Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) announced on Monday its collaboration with the National Telecommunications Commission (NTC) to impede local traders’ access to Binance, the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange by daily trading volumes.

Regulators in the Philippines are pursuing measures to prevent local traders from accessing Binance. The SEC stated on Monday that it has initiated efforts to block access to the cryptocurrency exchange due to its lack of the required regulatory license to operate in the jurisdiction. The agency had requested assistance from the NTC two weeks before blocking web pages associated with Binance.

According to the SEC, Binance has been actively running promotional campaigns on social media to attract Filipino investors to engage in trading activities using its platforms. However, the exchange has not obtained the necessary license from regulators to solicit investments from the public or to operate a securities exchange for buying and selling securities.

The recent actions taken by regulators in the Philippines to limit access to the trading platform are not unexpected. Last autumn, the country’s SEC issued warnings indicating its intention to block Binance due to its failure to obtain approval to offer investment products to residents of the Philippines.

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Coinbase Global (NASDAQ:COIN) shares have seen a remarkable 68% surge since February 23, closely tracking Bitcoin’s 37% ascent. As the halving date for Bitcoin approaches on April 17, COIN stock is poised to continue its upward trajectory alongside Bitcoin. This surge has also inflated COIN’s put option premiums, making them an appealing prospect for short-put strategies.

The impending Bitcoin halving will reduce the number of BTC coins that miners can generate per successful hashing attempt. Scheduled roughly every four years, analysts anticipate the next halving to occur on April 17. With miners needing updated equipment and a diminished supply of Bitcoins, this event is expected to drive Bitcoin prices higher. Consequently, anticipation of this event has driven Bitcoin’s price surge.

Coinbase Global is likely benefitting from heightened cryptocurrency trading activity this quarter, buoyed further by the introduction of ETF funds trading in Bitcoin. So, how high can COIN stock climb?

Analysts suggest Coinbase is poised to generate significant free cash flow, with revenue projections for the year reaching as high as $4.79 billion. Based on estimated operating cash flow margins, this could lead to a considerable rise in cash flow compared to previous estimates.

Using a 1.5% free cash flow yield metric, COIN stock valuation could reach $106.66 billion, implying a price target of at least $403 per share. Consequently, shorting near-term put options with their elevated premiums appears to be a lucrative move.

Shorting put options offers an immediate yield, particularly for out-of-the-money strike prices. For instance, with a strike price 10% out-of-the-money, investors could achieve a 3.25% immediate yield. Similar opportunities exist for nearby expiry periods, such as April 12, presenting substantial potential yields for various strike prices.

However, it’s crucial to acknowledge the risks involved, especially given the potential volatility in the stock. While this strategy can yield significant gains for COIN stockholders, a reversal in stock performance could lead to unrealized losses.

In summary, shorting put options on COIN stock presents an attractive opportunity for investors confident in the stock’s continued ascent. Nevertheless, prudent risk management is essential to navigate potential market fluctuations.

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Alex Thorn, head of firmwide research at Galaxy Digital, suggests that the approval of spot Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in May is now highly doubtful. Recent developments, including SEC subpoenas and a lack of engagement, contribute to this skepticism, Thorn stated in a note on Friday.

Reports indicating that the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has issued subpoenas to crypto firms regarding their ties to the Ethereum Foundation, combined with the SEC’s apparent disinterest in engaging with ETF applicants just two months before the initial deadline, have raised significant doubts about approval in May, according to Thorn.

Fortune’s recent report highlights the SEC’s active legal efforts to classify ether (ETH) as a security, citing subpoenas received by U.S. companies as part of an investigation. Additionally, The Block reported that the Ethereum Foundation received a confidential inquiry from a state authority, leading to the removal of the “warrant canary” from its website.

Thorn, a former Fidelity Investments veteran, speculates that the SEC’s interest in crypto firms’ interactions with the Ethereum Foundation may involve investigating whether Ethereum’s initial coin offering (ICO) in 2014 constituted an unregistered securities offering. He suggests that while the SEC may differentiate between the ICO and the current secondary trading of ETH, any enforcement action against the Ethereum Foundation after almost a decade would be highly irregular.

SEC Chairman Gary Gensler has declined to comment on whether the agency considers ETH a security. However, the SEC reportedly views Ethereum’s 2022 “Merge” upgrade as potentially strengthening the argument that ETH is a security due to the network’s transition to proof-of-stake. Despite this, the SEC permitted the launch of several futures-based Ethereum ETFs in 2023, a year after Ethereum transitioned to PoS.

Thorn argues that if the SEC pursues allegations of securities violations against ETH or the Ethereum Foundation, it would tread on uncertain legal ground and potentially impact an industry that has existed for over a decade.

This perspective aligns with market experts’ doubts about the approval of a spot Ethereum ETF by May. Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan has suggested that delaying approval could be advantageous, allowing Wall Street to digest spot bitcoin ETFs before focusing on new ones. He believes that a later approval might attract even more assets.

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Artificial intelligence startup Anthropic, a competitor of OpenAI, seeks to divest shares previously held by the now-defunct crypto exchange FTX. However, reports indicate that Saudi Arabian investors are not being entertained as potential buyers, as per anonymous sources.

Anthropic currently possesses an 8% stake from FTX, valued at over $1 billion. CNBC’s report, relying on undisclosed informants, suggests that Anthropic is in the market for a buyer to acquire the shares previously owned by FTX but has explicitly excluded Saudi investors from consideration.

According to CNBC’s sources, Anthropic’s decision to bypass Saudi investments is grounded in concerns regarding national security. Reportedly, the company’s executives are in the process of assembling a pool of potential backers while excluding Saudi financiers.

Three years ago, FTX acquired shares in Anthropic for $500 million. Now, the 8% stake in the esteemed AI startup has doubled in value. FTX’s liquidation of Anthropic shares is part of its bankruptcy proceedings, with proceeds aimed at compensating clients affected by the exchange’s collapse.

The report indicates that the transaction is progressing and is anticipated to conclude within the next few weeks, as mentioned by undisclosed sources.

Furthermore, Anthropic is contemplating selling FTX’s stake to alternative sovereign wealth funds, notably including the United Arab Emirates-based Mubadala. The latter has exhibited interest in acquiring Anthropic shares, as per the same report.

In December, Anthropic commanded a valuation of $18.4 billion. Subsequently, a judge sanctioned FTX’s proposal to offload its shares in the AI enterprise in February.

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