As the Bitcoin network’s halving event approaches, scheduled to occur in about seven days (April 19), the accuracy of online countdowns is coming into question. Various platforms display conflicting estimates of when the halving will take place, creating confusion for those closely monitoring the event.

For example, Watcher Guru forecasts the halving in seven days, seven hours, and 20 minutes, while CoinMarketCap predicts it will happen two hours later. Similarly, the “Bitcoin Block Reward Halving Countdown” indicates it will occur in seven days and 15 hours. Despite these variations, they generally align, but discrepancies can frustrate traders looking to capitalize on the halving.

The Bitcoin halving occurs approximately every four years, triggered by reaching every 210,000 blocks, with the upcoming event slated for block height 840,000. Ideally, given Bitcoin’s 10-minute block time, determining the precise timing of the halving should be straightforward. However, practicalities complicate matters.

According to Simon Cousaert, director of data at The Block Research, the accuracy of countdowns depends on factors like the current block height and the average block time. While the target block is constant, fluctuations in the average block time due to varying miner activity make accurate predictions challenging.

Marko Tarman, lead mining manager at NiceHash, emphasizes the dynamic nature of block times, which can significantly affect predicted halving events. Shorter average block times suggest an earlier halving, while longer times delay it.

In essence, while the halving event is predetermined and highly anticipated, predicting its exact timing is more art than science due to the fluctuating nature of block times. Accuracy becomes increasingly crucial as the event approaches, highlighting the complexities involved in tracking this significant event in the Bitcoin ecosystem.

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Cryptocurrencies experienced a significant downturn, with bitcoin (BTC) plummeting to below $66,000 and altcoins witnessing declines ranging from 10% to 15% on what proved to be a challenging day for risk assets.

Ryze Labs, in a report, warned investors to brace for continued market weakness beyond the current decline, attributing it partly to the ongoing tax season.

During the U.S. trading session, digital assets succumbed to risk-off sentiment prevalent in traditional markets, exacerbated by heightened geopolitical tensions. Bitcoin, which had flirted with the $71,000 mark earlier in the day, saw a rapid descent to $66,000 before rebounding slightly to $66,700, marking a more than 5% decrease over 24 hours.

Ether (ETH), the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap, mirrored bitcoin’s decline, plunging as much as 12% to $3,100 before a modest recovery trimmed the losses to 8%.

The broader crypto market was hit harder, with the CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20) witnessing a nearly 10% drop. Altcoins like Cardano’s ADA, Avalanche’s AVAX, bitcoin cash (BCH), filecoin (FIL), and aptos (APT) suffered losses ranging from 15% to 20%.

The market turbulence triggered the largest leverage washout in a month, with approximately $850 million of leveraged derivatives trading positions across all digital assets liquidated, according to CoinGlass data. Long positions, amounting to $770 million, were particularly affected, as investors betting on rising prices found themselves caught off guard by the sudden downturn.

The dip in crypto prices coincided with a decline in stock markets amid escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. U.S. authorities’ warnings of a potential significant attack by Iran on Israel contributed to a risk-off atmosphere, prompting investors to seek refuge in traditional safe-haven assets such as Treasury bonds and the U.S. dollar index (DXY).

Meanwhile, digital asset investment firm Ryze Labs cautioned of short-term market softness due to the upcoming tax season but maintained a positive long-term outlook. It anticipates relief for the asset class as policymakers may adjust monetary policy to facilitate U.S. government debt rollovers.

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Hong Kong is on the brink of approving Bitcoin and Ether Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) as soon as Monday, according to sources familiar with the matter. This development represents a significant advancement for the cryptocurrency sector within the region.

Harvest Fund Management, in conjunction with Bosera Asset Management and HashKey Capital, is poised to receive approval for its spot Bitcoin and Ether ETF applications. By the end of April, these ETFs are anticipated to secure the green light from the Securities and Futures Commission (SFC). Furthermore, the SFC is reportedly collaborating with Hong Kong Exchanges & Clearing Ltd to finalize the approval process.

Although the precise timeline remains uncertain, sources indicate that initial approvals, which may encompass Hong Kong Bitcoin ETFs, could materialize as early as Monday.

Regulators in the region have already given the green light for the launch of crypto-based ETFs. Notably, CSOP Ether Futures, Samsung Bitcoin Futures, and CSOP Bitcoin Futures collectively boast an estimated value of $170 million.

Bitcoin ETFs have demonstrated robust inflows since their launch, contributing to a resurgence in the cryptocurrency markets. By mid-April, the total assets under management for the 11 ETFs are projected to soar to a record $73 billion, with $59 billion raised to date. The net flows into Blackrock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust have surpassed $15 billion in just three months.

As of the beginning of this week, Harvest was anticipated to secure approval to launch a spot Bitcoin ETF in the city. Both Harvest and China Asset Management received approval from the SFC to offer virtual asset fund management services on April 9.

Regulators are actively working towards enabling investors to purchase spot ETFs. Julia Leung, deputy chief executive director of intermediaries for the SFC, affirmed that the regulator is “actively seeking to establish a regime to approve ETFs that provide investor guarantees for mainstream virtual assets.”

Despite encountering setbacks such as the emergence of JPEX, an unlicensed crypto exchange implicated in an alleged $1.6 million fraud, Hong Kong remains steadfast in its ambitions to support crypto entrepreneurs and restore its reputation as a global business center.

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